By the Numbers

Builder confidence ticks up after December rate cut but remains negative 

The National Association of Home Builders’ monthly survey found continued pessimism among the nation’s homebuilders at the end of a tough year. 

Cotality: Home-price growth slips to slowest pace since 2012 

Geographically, trends varied widely, with formerly hot areas like Florida and the Southeast posting the deepest declines and formerly cool areas, like the Midwest, showing healthy gains.

Pending home sales climb 1.9% in October 

By region, sales rose in the Midwest, Northeast and South but fell in the West. 

NAR’s Lawrence Yun expects 14% surge in existing-home sales in 2026 

The chief economist for the National Association of REALTORS® also predicts home prices will climb 4% compared to 2025. 

NAR: Home prices rose in 77% of metro areas in Q3

Nationwide, the median price for a single-family home increased 1.7% year over year to $426,800. Prices increased by the same annual rate during the second quarter.

Existing-home sales tick 1.5% higher in September

Given the rate of sales, the nation had a 4.6-month housing supply, up from 4.2 months a year prior.

Cotality: Pace of home-price growth slowed again in August 

The pace of home sales, meanwhile, remained at “multi-decade lows” even as affordability reached its most favorable level since 2022.

Case-Shiller: Denver home-price growth slips in July as national market downshifts to ‘slower gear’ 

The pace of home-price appreciation declined to its weakest pace in 10 years, according to the S&P Cotality Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price Index. 

New-home sales crush expectations in August, jump 20.5% from July on builder incentives 

The pace of new-home sales hit an annual rate of 800,000, its highest level since January 2022. 

Fannie Mae lowers mortgage-rate forecasts after Fed cut 

Fannie Mae also reduced its forecasts for home sales in 2025 and 2026. 

Fed cuts rates by quarter point, nods to further reductions 

The move was widely anticipated and is expected to be followed by additional cuts this year. 

mortgage applications
Mortgage applications jump almost 30% ahead of anticipated Fed rate cut 

The jump in mortgage activity was driven in large part by refinancings, which surged 58% in the week ended Sept. 12. 

August single-family construction falls to slowest pace since July 2024 

At the same time, completions of new single-family homes were on the rise last month, according to federal statistics. 

Builder outlook hits 6-month high on rate-cut expectations 

The National Association of Home Builders said its monthly builder-confidence survey indicated rising optimism that lower interest rates could spur new-home buying activity. 

mortgage applications
MBA: Mortgage applications hit highest level since 2022 

The surge comes as the rate on a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage fell to its lowest level since October 2024. 

Cotality notes further movement toward buyer’s market in latest Home Price Insights report 

The rate of home-price appreciation slowed to just over half the rate of inflation in July, Cotality noted. 

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